Post by CC06 on Feb 22, 2022 12:37:06 GMT -5
Odds Matrix:
ADDITIONAL MATH
TIEBREAKERS
If two (or more) teams are tied in the standings, a virtual coin will be flipped to determine teams' position among those with the same record. This tie is broken before the lottery is run, meaning you can win the tiebreaker over another team, but that team can then jump into the top four while you don't. Essentially, the tiebreaker only mathematically impacts draft positioning for teams who do not jump into the top four.
Please note that when teams are tied, their odds are evened out amongst each other. For example, if there is a two-way tie for fourth-best odds, and the fourth slot would have a 10% chance of the #1 overall pick while the fifth slot would have a 8% chance of the #1 overall pick, this means the two teams would have their lottery balls pooled together and divided equally. Once that's done, both would have a 9% chance at the #1 overall pick. If there is an odd number of balls to divide between the two, the team who won the tiebreaker will get the extra ball. The same process occurs if the tie is between three or more teams; remaining ball(s) will be given, as necessary, one by one to the teams based on the tiebreaker.
All the tiebreakers are reversed for second round picks. This means that if the Team A wins a tiebreaker over Team B, Team B's second round pick will be higher in the second-round draft order than Team A's.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
0.141 0.135 0.128 0.120 0.476 - - - - - - - -
0.141 0.135 0.128 0.120 0.278 0.197 - - - - - - -
0.141 0.135 0.128 0.120 0.149 0.258 0.068 - - - - - -
0.126 0.123 0.120 0.115 0.074 0.258 0.164 0.021 - - - - -
0.106 0.106 0.106 0.106 0.023 0.198 0.265 0.084 0.006 - - - -
0.090 0.093 0.095 0.097 - 0.089 0.300 0.201 0.035 0.001 - - -
0.075 0.078 0.082 0.086 - - 0.202 0.341 0.123 0.012 0.000 - -
0.060 0.064 0.068 0.073 - - - 0.353 0.316 0.062 0.003 0.000 -
0.045 0.049 0.053 0.058 - - - - 0.520 0.249 0.026 0.001 0.000
0.030 0.033 0.036 0.040 - - - - - 0.676 0.175 0.009 0.000
0.020 0.022 0.025 0.028 - - - - - - 0.795 0.108 0.002
0.015 0.017 0.019 0.021 - - - - - - - 0.882 0.046
0.010 0.011 0.013 0.014 - - - - - - - - 0.952 ADDITIONAL MATH
Team P (Top 4) E (Pick)
#1 Odds 0.5243 3.6556
#2 Odds 0.5243 3.8529
#3 Odds 0.5243 4.0502
#4 Odds 0.4836 4.4228
#5 Odds 0.4238 4.9450
#6 Odds 0.3746 5.5109
#7 Odds 0.3216 6.1937
#8 Odds 0.2648 7.0147
#9 Odds 0.2042 7.9965
#10 Odds 0.1398 9.1626
#11 Odds 0.0948 10.3192
#12 Odds 0.0717 11.3749
#13 Odds 0.0482 12.5011TIEBREAKERS
If two (or more) teams are tied in the standings, a virtual coin will be flipped to determine teams' position among those with the same record. This tie is broken before the lottery is run, meaning you can win the tiebreaker over another team, but that team can then jump into the top four while you don't. Essentially, the tiebreaker only mathematically impacts draft positioning for teams who do not jump into the top four.
Please note that when teams are tied, their odds are evened out amongst each other. For example, if there is a two-way tie for fourth-best odds, and the fourth slot would have a 10% chance of the #1 overall pick while the fifth slot would have a 8% chance of the #1 overall pick, this means the two teams would have their lottery balls pooled together and divided equally. Once that's done, both would have a 9% chance at the #1 overall pick. If there is an odd number of balls to divide between the two, the team who won the tiebreaker will get the extra ball. The same process occurs if the tie is between three or more teams; remaining ball(s) will be given, as necessary, one by one to the teams based on the tiebreaker.
All the tiebreakers are reversed for second round picks. This means that if the Team A wins a tiebreaker over Team B, Team B's second round pick will be higher in the second-round draft order than Team A's.