Post by CC06 on Jan 19, 2023 19:23:07 GMT -5
We're back again for the fourth annual Top 10 Prospects list! Didn't feel like writing this year, but I still wanted to publish the list.
As you may remember, only players 23 years old and younger were considered, regardless of the number of years they've played in the league to this point. Second, the player must currently be in the league now, so no Chris Bosh, Mehmet Okur, etc.
The list is a balance of "best case scenario" and "worst case scenario". It tends to skew younger, as the younger players (in theory) have higher upside and more paths to being good. Prospects were placed into tiers with other players that were thought to be like prospects -- if you believe a prospect is higher than somebody else in his respective tier, that's fine, but that's splitting hairs; it's not as significant as arguing a player belongs in a different tier.
And lastly, this is just one man's rankings. It's not definitive, and I'm not looking "under the hood" at true potentials or anything like that, just trying to provide content for the league. I would say that this is a very strong year for this list, and there’s going to be a lot of players who could be considered snubs. That’s a good thing!
Remember that players that aren’t rookies will also have a development score. Consider a 5 an average score -- it means that everything went as expected and the player is still on a similar path to what we thought last year.
With all that setup out of the way, let's get to the #1 prospect in TSFBL:
TIER 1:
1. SF LeBron James (Jazz) - 19 (NEW)
TIER 2:
2. SF Ron Artest (Rockets) - 23 (+1)
TIER 3:
3. PG Gilbert Arenas (Knicks) - 20 (NEW)
4. SF Carmelo Anthony (Suns) - 19 (NEW)
TIER 4:
5. SG Michael Redd (Nuggets) - 23 (+1)
6. PG Baron Davis (Nets) - 23 (+1)
7. SF Gerald Wallace (Wizards) - 20 (NEW)
8. PF Amar'e Stoudemire (Nets) - 20 (NEW)
TIER 5:
9. C Pau Gasol (Raptors) - 23 (-1)
10. SF Rashard Lewis (Bucks) - 23 (--)
Honorable Mention: (also in Tier 5 but outside of the top 10)
Names to Watch: (must be 22 or younger)
Graduates:
As you may remember, only players 23 years old and younger were considered, regardless of the number of years they've played in the league to this point. Second, the player must currently be in the league now, so no Chris Bosh, Mehmet Okur, etc.
The list is a balance of "best case scenario" and "worst case scenario". It tends to skew younger, as the younger players (in theory) have higher upside and more paths to being good. Prospects were placed into tiers with other players that were thought to be like prospects -- if you believe a prospect is higher than somebody else in his respective tier, that's fine, but that's splitting hairs; it's not as significant as arguing a player belongs in a different tier.
And lastly, this is just one man's rankings. It's not definitive, and I'm not looking "under the hood" at true potentials or anything like that, just trying to provide content for the league. I would say that this is a very strong year for this list, and there’s going to be a lot of players who could be considered snubs. That’s a good thing!
Remember that players that aren’t rookies will also have a development score. Consider a 5 an average score -- it means that everything went as expected and the player is still on a similar path to what we thought last year.
With all that setup out of the way, let's get to the #1 prospect in TSFBL:
TIER 1:
1. SF LeBron James (Jazz) - 19 (NEW)
TIER 2:
2. SF Ron Artest (Rockets) - 23 (+1)
TIER 3:
3. PG Gilbert Arenas (Knicks) - 20 (NEW)
4. SF Carmelo Anthony (Suns) - 19 (NEW)
TIER 4:
5. SG Michael Redd (Nuggets) - 23 (+1)
6. PG Baron Davis (Nets) - 23 (+1)
7. SF Gerald Wallace (Wizards) - 20 (NEW)
8. PF Amar'e Stoudemire (Nets) - 20 (NEW)
TIER 5:
9. C Pau Gasol (Raptors) - 23 (-1)
10. SF Rashard Lewis (Bucks) - 23 (--)
Honorable Mention: (also in Tier 5 but outside of the top 10)
Names to Watch: (must be 22 or younger)
Graduates: